Category: Public policy

Information related to political affairs that have an impact on Brazil’s economic development.

Wall St banks cut Brazil 2020 GDP growth forecast further below 2%

Bank of America Merrill Lynch cut its 2020 Brazilian economic growth outlook to 1.9% from 2.2%, and JP Morgan to 1.8% from 1.9%. Economy Minister Paulo Guedes and other officials have consistently said the government’s economic reforms and record low interest rates will deliver growth this year comfortably above 2%, with Guedes confident of 2.5%. JP Morgan said investment growth this year will now be lower at 5.0%, while exports will fall 0.5% compared with an earlier forecast of 0.5% expansion.

Real below 4.50 per dollar for first time, cenbank intervenes again

Real’s relentless decline continued on Thursday, falling below 4.50 per dollar for the first time ever. The Brazilian currency ended trading at new closing low of 4.4750 per dollar, meaning it has depreciated by more than 10% in just two months. Brazil’s central bank dipped into the currency derivatives market on Thursday for the fourth time this month, selling $1 billion of swaps contracts following Wednesday’s $500 million sale to slow or even reverse the real’s fall.

Brazil to allow for automatic approval of new agrochemicals

Brazil’s Agriculture Ministry will allow for agrochemicals awaiting regulatory approval to receive licenses automatically, potentially allowing new pesticides to reach market faster, according to new rules published in the government gazette with effect on April 1. If the ministry fails to review applications for new chemicals to be licensed within 60 days, the products will automatically be approved, although they will still need to receive separate approvals by the Health and Environment Ministries before going on the market.

Brazil confirms first coronavirus case in Latin America

A Brazilian government test has confirmed the first case of coronavirus in Latin America, after a Sao Paulo hospital flagged the possible infection of a 61-year-old who had visited Lombardy, in northern Italy. The diagnosis comes during Brazil’s carnival holiday, a peak time for domestic travel when millions of revellers throng major cities for boisterous street celebrations. Sao Paulo stock market, which has been closed since last week, is set to open at 1 p.m. local time. Brazilian shares in exchange-traded funds in New York have dropped nearly 6% this week.

Costa Rica, Uruguay and Brazil lead Latin American sustainability ranking

Costa Rica, Uruguay and Brazil, lead the Latin American sustainability ranking prepared by América Economía Intelligence considering seven dimensions: greenhouse gas emissions, energy matrix, biodiversity and forest management, agricultural pollution, water resources management, air quality in urban areas and environmental taxes. Bolivia, Peru and Paraguay are at the end of the list of eleven countries studied.

Brazil presents employment plan for 1.8 million young people

Brazil presented on Sunday to the financial G20 meeting in Riyadh its ‘Programa Verde Amarelo’ (Yellow Green Program) with which the Jair Bolsonaro government seeks to generate 1.8 million jobs in three years for young people aged 18 to 24. This represents a 2% increase in the employed population and a projected reduction of more than 30% in labour costs for companies, said the Secretary of International Economic Affairs, Erivaldo Gomes, replacing the Minister of Economy, Paulo Guedes, who did not attend the meeting in Saudi Arabia.

Brazil has the potential to lead green finance, UBS

The president of the Swiss bank UBS in Brazil, Sylvia Coutinho, estimates that Brazil “has the largest environmental assets on the planet” and conditions to assume a global role in “green finance.” Capital is looking for these environmental assets, as warned at the World Economic Forum in Davos, and I think the government took note of this message, so we must learn to monetise our environmental assets, she said.

Bolsonaro resists bid to make Central Bank to target growth

Brazil’s government is trying to fight off a move by some lawmakers to grant the central bank autonomy and force it to target growth as well as inflation. Opposition lower house deputies plan to present an amendment to the autonomy bill that would set an additional target for the central bank – either employment or growth level – alongside its mandate to keep prices stable. The autonomy bill is ready to be put to a vote in the lower house.